Russia is setting conditions to conduct military operations against Ukraine and/or in Belarus in the coming weeks or months. The Russian Federation has positioned military forces around Ukraine’s border and near the border with Belarus able to initiate offensive operations on very short notice with very little warning. Russian officials and media outlets have been setting conditions in the information space to support such operations. Possible Russian military actions: Overt deployment of Russian conventional military forces into Belarus on the pretext of defending against planned NATO aggression. Overt deployment of Russian conventional military forces into the Donbas region of…
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