Making any political forecasts is not only a thankless task, but also quite difficult, forecasting in the 21st century is sometimes very similar to medicine in the 19th century, as Americans Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner rightly noted in their book “Think Slowly, Predict Accurately,” “The world will be divided into two camps” There are theories, statements and discussions, there are self-confident and well-paid celebrities (“prominent political scientists”), but there is practically no what can be called science. Another significant problem with forecasts is their political bias – quite often “forecasts” are an exclusively political tool and are made to…
AnalysisPoliticsQ, [DS] & Corruption
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